Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.073075 0.086902 0.102429 0.121126 0.143002 0.167755 0.197860
2025-02-16 0.051694 0.069362 0.091496 0.121136 0.159647 0.207836 0.272535
2025-02-23 0.040918 0.060380 0.086940 0.125550 0.179899 0.253271 0.359349
2025-03-02 0.031534 0.050489 0.078316 0.121674 0.186939 0.280777 0.424959
2025-03-09 0.025880 0.044493 0.073604 0.121755 0.198505 0.314905 0.503157
2025-03-16 0.021281 0.039050 0.068492 0.119895 0.206152 0.343354 0.575571
2025-03-23 0.018569 0.036133 0.066779 0.122922 0.221523 0.385070 0.673119
2025-03-30 0.015771 0.032469 0.063080 0.121788 0.229429 0.415147 0.754671
2025-04-06 0.013274 0.028853 0.058799 0.118798 0.233389 0.438590 0.827106
2025-04-13 0.011119 0.025474 0.054360 0.114712 0.234564 0.456907 0.892067
2025-04-20 0.009972 0.023963 0.053301 0.116953 0.247838 0.498407 1.003439
2025-04-27 0.008869 0.022327 0.051703 0.117807 0.258379 0.535741 1.110719
2025-05-04 0.007826 0.020659 0.049836 0.117957 0.267799 0.572530 1.222240
2025-05-11 0.007029 0.019425 0.048733 0.119622 0.280660 0.617704 1.355670
2025-05-18 0.006528 0.018827 0.048988 0.124364 0.300766 0.679848 1.530330
2025-05-25 0.005600 0.016922 0.045809 0.120604 0.301346 0.700928 1.621100
2025-06-01 0.005003 0.015789 0.044335 0.120702 0.310755 0.741962 1.758880
2025-06-08 0.004396 0.014493 0.042220 0.118861 0.315278 0.772567 1.876736
2025-06-15 0.004068 0.013952 0.042008 0.121865 0.331955 0.832430 2.066435
2025-06-22 0.003619 0.012940 0.040336 0.120740 0.338130 0.868493 2.204888
2025-06-29 0.003165 0.011806 0.038118 0.117774 0.339160 0.892377 2.317028
2025-07-06 0.002737 0.010658 0.035654 0.113722 0.336761 0.907600 2.409810
2025-07-13 0.002537 0.010255 0.035370 0.115944 0.351650 0.967368 2.617885